Systemic risk
Low risk (5)
Resilience Strong (95). Monitor fiscal, debt, inflation, and approval trends.
First Briefing
Starter scenario featuring a mid-sized democracy with balanced macro indicators.
Nothing happens until you advance the quarter.
Currency Desk
Y2025 Q1
LatestEthics Observatory
Slack -20.00 · Tier None
Focus view hides advanced panels: Domestic Blocs, Currency Desk, and Ethics Observatory, and 5 more.
Mandate focus
Objective tracker
3/6 securedReduce emissions intensity to honour international commitments.
Overshoot · 120.00 (+2.00 vs cap)
Frontline mandate
Stabilize within two quarters to calm frontline unions.
Emergent bloc
Teachers, nurses, and civil servants defending frontline services from austerity drives and deferred maintenance.
Live 25.2 · Modelled 25.2
Pressure drivers
5.4 vs base 32.0
Falling classroom budgets galvanise unions.
0 vs base 24.0
Maintenance backlogs mobilise public employees.
65.0 vs base 60.0
Dense metros concentrate public sector workforces.
Quick actions
Align priority lever
Infrastructure Spend 50 → 72
Expiring ultimatums
0
≤1 quarter
Deferral overdue
0
bridge lapsed
Active flashpoints
0
storylets queued
Pinned blocs
0
0 auto · 0 manual
No fresh jealousy spikes this quarter.
Education · infrastructure
Education spend
5.40% of output
Target 5.80% · 0.40pp under
Infrastructure gap
0.0 pts
Threshold ≤ 5 · Clearing
6-quarter signal
Calm streak target
0/2Stabilize within two quarters to calm frontline unions.
Public Sector Alliance
Salience 25.2 / 44 · Gap 18.8 pts
Popular Bloc
Never appeased · salience 100
Commerce Council
Never appeased · salience 100
Climate Coalition
Never appeased · salience 100
Set a policy lever to the faction's requested target. The change enters this quarter's plan before it is committed. stages requested targets. Shift + F opens quick actions.
Public Sector Alliance
25.2 / 44 salience
Gap 18.8 pts · The salience level at which a faction mobilizes around its defining demand. Reaching it makes that faction harder to ignore. 44
Infrastructure Spend
50 → 72 (+22)
Social Safety Net
0.18 → 0.26 (+0.08)
Mandate acts
Act I · Opening Gambit
Act 2 · Loops Under Stress
Act 2 · Treasury Red Alert
Act 3 · Mandate on the Line
Executive brief
Systemic risk
Low risk (5)
Resilience Strong (95). Monitor fiscal, debt, inflation, and approval trends.
Public services
Education 5.40% / 5.80%
Infra gap 0.0 (≤5) · Public Sector Alliance gap 18.8 pts
Legitimacy
55 composite
Consent 61 · Capacity 62 · Coercion 0
Revolution risk
0.0% pressure
Calm streets for now.
Emerging factions
Public Sector Alliance 25/44 salience
Public Sector Alliance gap 18.8 pts
Coalition pressure
Coalitions calm
No active ultimatums or pinned risks.
Relief agenda
Relief coverage 0%
Top instigator calm.
Mandate slack
-20.00 min slack
Need +20.00 slack to stabilise.
Advisor evaluations
No pending outcomes
Council stable for now.
Election horizon
Election in 8q
Stabilise key blocs and legitimacy before the vote.
Score 0
Gap, supply, and tenant salience remain close to baseline.
Infrastructure gap 0.0 (baseline 0.0) • Housing supply 100.0 (baseline 100.0) • Metro Tenants Union salience 10.2 / 40.0
Housing demand stable
Gap, supply, and tenant salience remain close to baseline.
Macro pulse
Public services
Under strain
Edu 5.40% / 5.80% · Infra gap 0.0 (≤5)
Economic output
100.0
Inflation
3.0%
Deficit
5.5%
Inequality
0.350
Approval
55.0%
Macro risk board
Systemic outlook
Risk Low(5), Resilience Strong(95)
Inflation
3.0%
Change ±0
Fiscal Deficit
5.5%
Change ±0
Foreign exchange reserves
-
Change ±0
Inequality
0.350
Change ±0
Public Approval
55.0%
Change ±0
Mandate objectives
Salience surging blocs that will soon mobilize.
Public Sector Alliance
57% to mobilization
18.8 pts until 44-point threshold.
Top lever gaps
Infrastructure Spend
50 → 72 (+22)
Social Safety Net
0.18 → 0.26 (+0.08)
Security Budget Crossroads
Gated
Military planners insist on ring-fencing security funds; social ministers argue for shared sacrifice.
Closing the Mandate
Gated
Slack looks favorable and advisors ask whether to declare victory now or push for stretch goals.
Confidence Bloc Threatens Vote
Gated
Parliament's unity caucus signals they will force a confidence vote unless social anger cools.
Contain CPI drift
Price Stability
Inflation brushing 5% erodes consent—act before expectations reset.
Guard the deficit line
Fiscal Deficit
Markets wobble if the deficit pierces 6.2%—signal discipline early.
Protect the approval floor
Public Mandate
Approval under 52 stalls reforms; give households a visible win.
economic output (avg, last 4q)
National Output
Slack -20.00
Approval (avg, last 4q)
Public Mandate
Slack -5.00
Deficit % of output (avg, last 4q)
Fiscal Deficit
Slack -1.50
Current 225 bn · Trigger ≥ 20 bn
Current 8 · Trigger ≤ 90
Current 12 · Trigger ≤ 95
Secure macro stability
Keep inflation tame and debt trending down while preserving approval.
Disrupt reinforcing loops
Watch for debt-interest or energy import spirals; deploy counter policies before cascades spark.
Unlock growth reserves
Invest in infrastructure and green tech once stability returns to lift GDP and employment.
Keep national output above the mandate baseline to signal economic vitality.
On course · 100.00 (+3.00 vs target)
Maintain public approval to retain legislative authority.
On course · 55.0% (+3.0% vs target)
Hold the fiscal deficit within safe guardrails to protect creditworthiness.
On course · 5.5% (−0.8% vs cap)
Reduce emissions intensity to honour international commitments.
Overshoot · 120.00 (+2.00 vs cap)
Raise education investment so universities and training centres can retain talent.
Shortfall · 5.40 (−0.60 vs target)
Expand apprenticeships and industry partnerships to keep youth joblessness in check.
Overshoot · 11.40 (+2.40 vs cap)
Track each objective against its current value and negotiated target.
Objectives in compliance
3/6
Legitimacy index
55Overall
The action-point budget for policy changes this quarter. Costs appear while planning and are charged when the quarter advances.
45Available
Mandate health index
Objective alignment, faction support, and macro stability in one score.
Total 150.0
Keep national output above the mandate baseline to signal economic vitality.
On course · 100.00 (+3.00 vs target)
Current
100.00
National Output
Target
≥ 97.00
Slack +3.00
Maintain public approval to retain legislative authority.
On course · 55.0% (+3.0% vs target)
Current
55.0%
Public Mandate
Target
≥ 52.0%
Slack +3.0%
Hold the fiscal deficit within safe guardrails to protect creditworthiness.
On course · 5.5% (−0.8% vs cap)
Current
5.5%
Fiscal Deficit
Target
≤ 6.3%
Slack −0.8%
Reduce emissions intensity to honour international commitments.
Overshoot · 120.00 (+2.00 vs cap)
Current
120.00
Carbon Output
Target
≤ 118.00
Slack +2.00
Playbook
Raise rationing intensity
Aggressive rationing trims immediate fuel demand and emission spikes.
Boost grid investment
Fund storage and renewables to bend the emissions curve.
Raise education investment so universities and training centres can retain talent.
Shortfall · 5.40 (−0.60 vs target)
Current
5.40
Education Spend
Target
≥ 6.00
Slack −0.60
Playbook
Raise education appropriation
Directly raise the education lever to hit the agreed funding path.
Expand apprenticeships and industry partnerships to keep youth joblessness in check.
Overshoot · 11.40 (+2.40 vs cap)
Current
11.40
Youth Unemployment
Target
≤ 9.00
Slack +2.40
Playbook
Expand public works hiring
Infrastructure projects soak up idle youth labour quickly.
50 → 60
Fund training stipends
Higher safety-net stipends keep youth engaged in training paths.
18.0% → 20.0%
Track approval, salience, and mobilisation before a faction defects.
55.0%
1
Above 60 salience or emerging mobilisation
11
Keep sub-20 salience blocs contained
Coalition jealousy watch
3 hot blocsPopular Bloc
Never appeased · salience 100
Commerce Council
Never appeased · salience 100
Climate Coalition
Never appeased · salience 100
Popular Bloc
Advisor Marina Cho · Trust 60
55.0%
Approval
100.0
Salience
dominant
Mobilisation state
+0.00 q/q
Approval trend
Keep a concession in reserve for this bloc.
Commerce Council
Advisor Elias Merino · Trust 60
55.0%
Approval
100.0
Salience
dominant
Mobilisation state
+0.00 q/q
Approval trend
Keep a concession in reserve for this bloc.
Climate Coalition
Advisor Dr. Sahana Amini · Trust 60
55.0%
Approval
100.0
Salience
dominant
Mobilisation state
+0.00 q/q
Approval trend
Keep a concession in reserve for this bloc.
Academic Bloc
Advisor Dr. Lian Ortega · Trust 60
55.0%
Approval
100.0
Salience
dominant
Mobilisation state
+0.00 q/q
Approval trend
Keep a concession in reserve for this bloc.
Emerging factions
Public Sector Alliance
UnprovenTeachers, nurses, and civil servants defending frontline services from austerity drives and deferred maintenance.
No recommendation history yet
Suggested levers
Legitimacy Triangle
Next election in 8 quarters.
Keep advisors in the sweet spot: nurture trust, manage fatigue, and trigger signature reforms when the window opens.
Under strain
Education 5.40% / 5.80% · Infrastructure gap 0.0 (≤5)
Public Sector Alliance gap 18.8 pts
Average trust
60/ 100
Flagged advisors
0
Trust ≤ 55
Signature reforms ready
0
Trust gates cleared
Minister for Social Equity
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(84)
Chancellor of the Exchequer
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(88)
Special Envoy for the Climate Compact
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(90)
Minister for Knowledge Systems
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(86)
Chief of the General Staff
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(79)
Minister for Future Industries
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(86)
Minister for Rural Stewardship
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(82)
Innovation Council Chair
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(72)
Provincial Alliance Leader
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(68)
Council of Faith Convenor
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(79)
Climate Strike Coordinator
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(70)
Metropolitan Tenants Congress Chair
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(83)
National Student Congress Convenor
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(68)
Energy Import Council Director
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(74)
Sovereign Risk Committee Chair
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(82)
Council of Provinces Chair
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(74)
Energy Workers Federation Chair
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(76)
Civil Service Alliance Chair
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(74)
Security Directorate Liaison
Trust
60
Trust change
+0
Fatigue
0
Focus
Focus(70)
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